BYU -5.5 VS UTAH
CAL +2 VS UCLA
Saturday, February 28, 2009
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/28
COACH K-2/28
Good morning gentlemen. We have just a small teaser for the early games to start and I will get most of the card finalized within the next hour or so.
NCAA
2* Nova -1.5/St. John's +6.5 (5.5pt teaser)
OK fellas. Here is the next update on the card. I am still working on a few other games that I want to find out where the market is going with them, especially our 4* play. I barely got into the NBA card, but I'll update that when I'm finished as well.
NCAA
3* Texas A&M -10, Indiana St -2.5
2* Drexel -1, Va Tech +6, Kentucky -4.5, Oky St. -1, Washington -8
1* Creighton -8, Clemson -1, East Tenn St -2.5, La Tech -3, Hofstra -13, ASU/Wash St over 111, WF/Virginia over 71 (1H), ND/UConn over 70 (1H)
NBA
2* Bulls -1
Boxing
2* Juan Manuel Marquez -150
This is going to do it for the day. Good luck!
4* BYU pk/Cal St Northridge +1.5 (5.5pt teaser)
1* Cal +2, Pitt/Seton Hall under 146, SMU/Tulsa over 124, Long Beach St/Cal St Northridge under 146, VCU/Ga Southern over 128
NCAA
2* Nova -1.5/St. John's +6.5 (5.5pt teaser)
OK fellas. Here is the next update on the card. I am still working on a few other games that I want to find out where the market is going with them, especially our 4* play. I barely got into the NBA card, but I'll update that when I'm finished as well.
NCAA
3* Texas A&M -10, Indiana St -2.5
2* Drexel -1, Va Tech +6, Kentucky -4.5, Oky St. -1, Washington -8
1* Creighton -8, Clemson -1, East Tenn St -2.5, La Tech -3, Hofstra -13, ASU/Wash St over 111, WF/Virginia over 71 (1H), ND/UConn over 70 (1H)
NBA
2* Bulls -1
Boxing
2* Juan Manuel Marquez -150
This is going to do it for the day. Good luck!
4* BYU pk/Cal St Northridge +1.5 (5.5pt teaser)
1* Cal +2, Pitt/Seton Hall under 146, SMU/Tulsa over 124, Long Beach St/Cal St Northridge under 146, VCU/Ga Southern over 128
Friday, February 27, 2009
COACH K-2/27
We cashed our 4th straight 4* play on Wazzu last night and took home 7.2 units overall even after a bad beat on Washington. With my adjustments, I really feel confident going into this weekend and provided the Gambling God takes mercy on me, I feel a HUGE day tomorrow! We have a decent board tonight in the NBA, but I've had a tough time finding any value other than a couple of plays. I did find a really good spot with Minnesota hosting Portland that I put a 3* on and possibly could upgrade it to a 4*.
NCAA
2* Princeton -6.5
NBA
3* T'Wolves +5
2* Sixers +2, Heat +5.5
1* Nuggets +2 (if Nene plays)
NCAA
2* Princeton -6.5
NBA
3* T'Wolves +5
2* Sixers +2, Heat +5.5
1* Nuggets +2 (if Nene plays)
Dr. Donovan's Elite 25
This is the first edition of my Elite 25 list. It could and probably will change as we get closer to the draft. I will be coming out with my first “MOCK” draft on Sunday. It will cover the first 2 rounds.
1.Michael Crabtree- WR Texas Tech
2.Jason Smith- OT Baylor
3.Matt Stafford- QB Georgia
4.Aaron Curry- LB Wake Forest
5.Brian Orakpo- DE Texas
6.Rey Maualuga-LB USC
7.Knowshown Moreno- RB Georgia
8.Malcolm Jenkins- DB Ohio State
9.Eugene Monroe- OT- Virginia
10.Brandon Pettigrew TE- Oklahoma State
11.Mark Sanchez- QB USC
12.Jeremy Maclin- WR Missouri
13.Louis Delmas- S Western Michigan
14.Everette Brown- DE Florida State
15.Hakeem Nicks- WR North Carolina
16.Brian Cushing- LB USC
17.Chris Wells- RB Ohio State
18.BJ Raji- DT Boston College
19.Vontae Davis- Illinois
20.Max Unger C- Oregon
21.Michael Oher- OT Mississippi
22.James Laurinitis- LB Ohio State
23.Patrick Chung- S Oregon
24.Jerad Cook- South Carolina
25.Andre Smith- OT Alabama
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/27
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-Another 3 team hockey parlay tonight, this one will pay about +200. Had 2 out of 3 in our parlay last night, the loss was Dallas who was clearly the right side as they had over 40 shots on goal, just had some bad luck hitting 5 goal posts.
RedWings (Detroit) -300
Canucks (Vancouver) -270
Flames (Calgary) -165
Thursday, February 26, 2009
COACH K-2/26
After last night's debacle with my small-medium valued plays I did some adjusting to my #'s and definitely would have layed off a few of the losers going back. But, hindsight is 20-20 and I don't know any Doc Brown or Marty McFly so we'll just have to move forward. Overall I have tightened my standards to qualify for a side play so we will see a few less of those than normal, but since my totals #'s have been kicking ass I will still continue to post those. Here's to righting the ship!
NCABB
4* Washington St. -2 (buy 1/2)
3* Washington -3.5, Rider +4/Cal +1 (5pt teaser)
2* Buffalo -1, La Tech -2, N. Arizona +13.5/Virginia +9 (5pt teaser) Elon/Ga Southern under 139
1* Memphis/UAB under 139, Washington/ASU over 141, Minny/Illinois over 119, MTSU/FIU under 62 (1H), Furman/Citadel under 60 (1H)
NBA
2* Rockets +4
NCABB
4* Washington St. -2 (buy 1/2)
3* Washington -3.5, Rider +4/Cal +1 (5pt teaser)
2* Buffalo -1, La Tech -2, N. Arizona +13.5/Virginia +9 (5pt teaser) Elon/Ga Southern under 139
1* Memphis/UAB under 139, Washington/ASU over 141, Minny/Illinois over 119, MTSU/FIU under 62 (1H), Furman/Citadel under 60 (1H)
NBA
2* Rockets +4
E-FRIENDS BRAWL TO REPLACE CHALLENGE?
In a shocking sequence of events, the E-Friends Challenge has now turned into what may be a Steel Cage Brawl. Adam "Turbo" Jay underwent an operation, which could keep him sidelined for up to 8 weeks, but has permanently damaged his ability in many events in the Challenge. Therefore, the big talking Turbo, started running his yapper to the other members of E-Friends and has challenged them all to an all out brawl. The date and venue is yet to be booked, but one thing is for, it will involve a steel cage. While this writer is disappointed the sporting challenge will not take place, I figure this is the next best thing.
So who is the odds on favorite? This isn't quite as easy to determine as the sporting challenge but I do have some inside info. Adam "Turbo" Jay - A possible front runner when healthy, ATJ has fallen like the stock market and is not the safe play. With an injured shoulder and neck, the rest of the crew will use this to their advantage, most likely with sharp pokes to the neck region. ATJ still has the best "check into the boards" and with a steel cage, this could mean bad news for the other 3. The biggest question is will ATJ's never say die attitude overcome his pain? My guess is no and he will continue his pu$$y ways. Odds: 60:1
Dan "The Ostrich" Fletcher - Fletcher has the reach and the strength to dominate the rest of the crew. At 6'5, 230 lbs, he dwarfs the competitors in this event. Fletcher's "elbow bom" is the deadliest elbow that I have ever seen in my life and could be the difference maker. There is one concern with Fletcher though. Fletcher never seems to come out on top in anything he does. Fantasy sports....failure. Political debates......failure. Courtroom debates.....failure. Proposing to his girlfriend of 5 years.....failure. Calling Lindgren when he is Cedar Falls.....BIG TIME FAILURE. Don't judge this book by its cover. His size and elbow will not be the difference. Odds: 10:1
Josh "Whoa is Me" Russo - Unless you have money to absolutely waste, I wouldn't even think about putting money on this bozo. The downfalls are endless. First of all, he is way too worried about his good looks to get into any kind of grappling match. Plus, Russo has by far the weakest "punches" in this event. Having seen him "throw down" on 4th St in Cedar Falls, I can tell you that his punches are more like the punches thrown by my 3-year old niece. So unless Lindgren has a stroke, Jay has a heart attack or Fletcher trips over his own feet and breaks his ankle, this young stallion has 0% chance. Odds: 15:1
Matt "Lingz" Lindgren - While Lindgren is easily the most athletic of the bunch, he lacks one thing in an all out brawl.....size. Having seen Lindgren's ferocious ways on the basketball court and having seen how far he can hit a softball and golfball, I have no doubt that their is strength underneath the lanky stature. Lindgren has one advantage. His 9-iron attack is the most feared attack in the grappling world today. Is using a 9-iron unfair? Some say yes, some say no. All I know is, it is allowed and it will be the deciding factor. Don't be fooled when you see Lindgren making his way to the ring. When 2 men remain (Lindgren and Fletcher), expect this match to end with Lindgren's patented move. The flying 9-iron off the top of the cage will send Fletcher into the upper deck. Game, set, match. Odds: 1:2
So who is the odds on favorite? This isn't quite as easy to determine as the sporting challenge but I do have some inside info. Adam "Turbo" Jay - A possible front runner when healthy, ATJ has fallen like the stock market and is not the safe play. With an injured shoulder and neck, the rest of the crew will use this to their advantage, most likely with sharp pokes to the neck region. ATJ still has the best "check into the boards" and with a steel cage, this could mean bad news for the other 3. The biggest question is will ATJ's never say die attitude overcome his pain? My guess is no and he will continue his pu$$y ways. Odds: 60:1
Dan "The Ostrich" Fletcher - Fletcher has the reach and the strength to dominate the rest of the crew. At 6'5, 230 lbs, he dwarfs the competitors in this event. Fletcher's "elbow bom" is the deadliest elbow that I have ever seen in my life and could be the difference maker. There is one concern with Fletcher though. Fletcher never seems to come out on top in anything he does. Fantasy sports....failure. Political debates......failure. Courtroom debates.....failure. Proposing to his girlfriend of 5 years.....failure. Calling Lindgren when he is Cedar Falls.....BIG TIME FAILURE. Don't judge this book by its cover. His size and elbow will not be the difference. Odds: 10:1
Josh "Whoa is Me" Russo - Unless you have money to absolutely waste, I wouldn't even think about putting money on this bozo. The downfalls are endless. First of all, he is way too worried about his good looks to get into any kind of grappling match. Plus, Russo has by far the weakest "punches" in this event. Having seen him "throw down" on 4th St in Cedar Falls, I can tell you that his punches are more like the punches thrown by my 3-year old niece. So unless Lindgren has a stroke, Jay has a heart attack or Fletcher trips over his own feet and breaks his ankle, this young stallion has 0% chance. Odds: 15:1
Matt "Lingz" Lindgren - While Lindgren is easily the most athletic of the bunch, he lacks one thing in an all out brawl.....size. Having seen Lindgren's ferocious ways on the basketball court and having seen how far he can hit a softball and golfball, I have no doubt that their is strength underneath the lanky stature. Lindgren has one advantage. His 9-iron attack is the most feared attack in the grappling world today. Is using a 9-iron unfair? Some say yes, some say no. All I know is, it is allowed and it will be the deciding factor. Don't be fooled when you see Lindgren making his way to the ring. When 2 men remain (Lindgren and Fletcher), expect this match to end with Lindgren's patented move. The flying 9-iron off the top of the cage will send Fletcher into the upper deck. Game, set, match. Odds: 1:2
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/26
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT
*UPDATE* Adding Suns/Lakers under 232.5 to the card. Without Nash and Amare, I don't see the Suns scoring much over 100 points. Also ASU +3.5 at Washington.
Going back to the NHL tonight for a 3 team parlay that'll pay around +215. Take the Caps, Stars and Devils.
WASHINGTON CAPITALS VS ATLANTA THRASHERS
DALLAS STARS VS ST. LOUIS BLUES
NEW JERSEY DEVILS VS COLORADO AVALANCHE
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
NFL COMBINE REPORT- DAY 4
DBs
On the last day of workouts we saw the Defensive backs workout and although history would show this is the fastest group, according to 40 times, this year’s class wasn’t as fast as advertised. We did have some guys vault themselves into draft talks however. I was surprised at a couple guys as they went from no-namers to very high on my list.
S
The safeties consisted of a short list of guys but some that may make an impact right away. The top guy on my board is Rashad Johnson from Alabama. He has good ball skills and decent speed and was a walk-on that had to overcome a lot. A couple guys that really caught my eye were Patrick Chung from Oregon and Emanual Cook from South Carolina. They are both safeties with aggressive styles and can put the hammer down when they hit. Oklahoma’s Lendy Holmes was the guy that helped his stock the most by showing his athleticism and speed. Chris Clemons from Clemson also opened some eyes by having a great combine.
Donovan’s Elite 5- S
#1 Rashad Johnson- Alabama
#2 Patrick Chung- Oregon
#3 Emanuel Cook- South Carolina
#4 William Moore- Missouri
#5 Darcel McBath- Texas Tech
Donovan’s Morning-Wood Early Risers
#1 Lendy Holmes- Oklahoma
#2 Chris Clemons- Clemson
#3 David Bruton- Notre Dame
#4 Stephen Hodge- TCU
#5 Michael Hamlin- Clemson
CB
The corner position is very deep this year and we may see 4 or 5 corners in the first round. The top 2 guys on my list may move to the safety position when it is all said and done. These guys are “tweeners” almost like Arizona Cardinal Antrel Rolle who has been used at both positions. Malcolm Jenkins from Ohio State and Delmas Louis are both big and physical DBs who will most likely be place at the safety position. In fact, in my preview I had Louis as my top safety and I continue to think he is best suited for the S position. I really like Delmas and think this guy will be a stud which ever position he plays. Vontae Davis from Illinois has serious skills and is a physical freak and should go in the first round as well. Some guys that impressed me today were Joe Burnett from Central Florida and Keenan Lewis from Oregon State. Burnett had a great day and he is a burner that can also help in the kick and punt return game, which raises his stock after a great 40 time as well. Alphonso Smith from Wake Forest is in my Elite 5 but has dropped to 5 because I just don’t think his size helps matters any. He does have serious skills and he did have a phenomenal day. Donald Washington from Ohio State really dominated the combine with his speed and vertical but shows signs of inconsistencies.
Donovan’s Elite 5- CB
#1- Malcolm Jenkins- Ohio State
#2- Louis Delmas- Western Michigan
#3- Vontae Davis- Illinois
#4- Darius Butler- Uconn
#5- Alphonso Smith- Wake Forest
Donovan’s Morning-Wood Early Risers
#1- Joe Burnett- Central Florida
#2- Keenan Lewis- Oregon State
#3- DJ Moore- Vanderbilt
#4- Bradley Fletcher- Iowa
#5- Donald Washington- Ohio State
LOCK OF THE DAY 2/25
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-None of the basketball games jump out at me today, was thinking of taking MSU -15.5 vs Iowa but told myself I'd never again bet against the Hawks after Sunday's debacle. That said, for the rest of you out there, bank on a MSU 20 point victory. The last 15 years has been a bloodbath in East Lansing for the Hawks. The lock of the day is a small NHL 2 team parlay, Pittsburgh (v Islanders) and Phildadelphia (v Kings) money lines.
COACH K-2/25
Tough one last night, but thankfully it was only a few units down the drain. If you haven't noticed lately the lines are getting sharper and sharper with about half of last night's lines falling within 3 pts of the posted #. This occurs every year, but it seems this year they are a little sharper than in years past. Thankfully we have a big board to work with tonight which should help out in a few spots and present some good value.
NCAA
4* NW/Indiana over 127
3* Depaul +14, W. Mich -1
2* Marquette -1, UNLV +5.5, Will & Mary +12, Vandy -4.5, Colorado +6, St. Louis pk, James Madison +3.5, Hofstra -1, Va Tech +10.5, Charlotte pk, Mizzouri -9.5, Maryland +6.5
1* Kentucky +1, UCF -12, MSU/Iowa over 122, Wyoming CSU over 151, Arkansas/Bama over 142.5, Marshall/ECU under 149, UCF/Seton Hall under 140, Delaware/Towson under 141. Northeastern/Drexel under 54.5 (1H), USF/Seton Hall over 63 (1H), Rutgers/ND under 68 (1H)
NBA
3* Kings +3.5
2* Magic -2.5, Nuggets -8.5, Bulls/Nets over 204, Magic/Knicks under 219
1* Celtics/Clippers under 200.5
NCAA
4* NW/Indiana over 127
3* Depaul +14, W. Mich -1
2* Marquette -1, UNLV +5.5, Will & Mary +12, Vandy -4.5, Colorado +6, St. Louis pk, James Madison +3.5, Hofstra -1, Va Tech +10.5, Charlotte pk, Mizzouri -9.5, Maryland +6.5
1* Kentucky +1, UCF -12, MSU/Iowa over 122, Wyoming CSU over 151, Arkansas/Bama over 142.5, Marshall/ECU under 149, UCF/Seton Hall under 140, Delaware/Towson under 141. Northeastern/Drexel under 54.5 (1H), USF/Seton Hall over 63 (1H), Rutgers/ND under 68 (1H)
NBA
3* Kings +3.5
2* Magic -2.5, Nuggets -8.5, Bulls/Nets over 204, Magic/Knicks under 219
1* Celtics/Clippers under 200.5
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
COACH K-2/24
We cashed our 3* play on the Clippers last night moving our 3* and above record to 14-9-2
(60%) +13.15 units. And we made another profit eeking out 0.6 units. With another small board tonight we are going to keep it light and look to pounce on the big board tomorrow night.
NCABB
1* So. Miss -6.5, Pitt -8.5, Iowa St +2.5, PSU/Ohio St under 59 (1H), Pitt/Providence over 74.5 (1H), UNI/Ill St. under 61 (1H)
NBA
2* Rockets -4.5
1* Mavs +5, Magic -2
(60%) +13.15 units. And we made another profit eeking out 0.6 units. With another small board tonight we are going to keep it light and look to pounce on the big board tomorrow night.
NCABB
1* So. Miss -6.5, Pitt -8.5, Iowa St +2.5, PSU/Ohio St under 59 (1H), Pitt/Providence over 74.5 (1H), UNI/Ill St. under 61 (1H)
NBA
2* Rockets -4.5
1* Mavs +5, Magic -2
POINTSPREAD PETE-2/24
Baylor is 0-8 in their last 8 Big 12 road games. 70% of the public money is on Baylor to cover the small line. I smell a trap.
IOWA STATE +2.5 VS BAYLOR
IOWA STATE +2.5 VS BAYLOR
NFL COMBINE REPORT
Day 3
DT / DE / LB
Dr. Donovan- Lead NFL Draft Expert
Day 3 of the combine is probably my favorite day of the week. I am a defensive guy and think these guys are the key to winning championships. The main story on Day 3 included some key injuries unfortunately. I was really disappointed because 2 of the main guys I wanted to see both got hurt after their 40s. Texas DE/LB Brian Orakpo and USC LB Rey Maualuga came up limp and had to sit out the rest of their work-outs.
DT
The DT group is always a short list. Boston College ’s BJ Raji is the guy that most teams wanted to see at the DT position. He is a gap penetrating DT but is big enough to be a gap-filler as well at 334 lbs. He would be a decent 4-3 DT and is very versatile. The biggest riser at the DT position was Fili Moala from USC. This guy can be a gap penetrator but also is quick enough to be moved around to DE if needed which saves a roster spot and helps his draft stock. A couple of other guys who looked good were Raji’s teammate, Ron Brace from BC, and Evander “Ziggy” Hood from Missouri who is another versatile DT.
Donovan’s Elite 5- DT
B.J. Raji- BC
Evander Hood- Missouri
Ron Brace- BC
Peria Jerry- Mississippi
Fili Moala- USC
Donovan’s Morning-Wood Early Risers- DT
1. Fili Moala- USC
2. Evander Hood- Missouri
3. Terrance Taylor- Michigan
4. Myron Pryor- Kentucky
5. Mitch King- Iowa
DE
The DE class isn’t as deep as we’ve seen in the past but it may have some of the best athletes as a whole. There are a ton of players who can play DL and LB in certain schemes and a lot of successful defenses are going towards these types of athletes including juggernauts like the Steelers and Ravens. A couple guys to mention are DE Brian Orakpo from Texas who a lot of people are putting as a linebacker. This guy reminds me of last year’s DE/LB from Ohio State Vernon Gohlston without the “buyer beware” sign. I’m not writing off Gholston yet and think the hiring of Rex Ryan will help his development immensely but he has sick athletic abilities and blew it up at the combine just like Orakpo did this year. Another guy who absolutely killed it at the combine was Georgia Tech DE Michael Johnson who is a Gohlston clone and also is inconsistent and has the knock of taking plays off. He is #6 on my “Elite DEs list” just because of this intangible. A couple guys that helped their stock were Connor Barwin from Cincinnati who probably had the best day out of anybody, but I personally didn’t get to see much of him at the combine. My biggest riser of the day was Aaron Maybin from Penn State who is very versatile and can be a good pass rusher in the right system.
Donovan’s Elite 5- DE
Brian Orakpo- Texas
Everette Brown- Florida State
Robert Ayers- Tennessee
Paul Kruger- Utah
Larry English- N. Illinois
Donovan’s Morning-Wood Early Risers- DE
Aaron Maybin- Penn State
Connor Barwin- Cincinnati
Michael Johnson- Georgia Tech
Brandon Williams- Texas Tech
Tyson Jackson- LSU
LB
I was pretty disappointed that Rey Maualuga couldn’t work out due to an injury in the 40. Mark my words; this guy is gonna be the next great linebacker in the league if he gets to play as a MLB in a 4-3. The linebackers are a very deep class this year with big names including Wake Forest’s Aaron Curry who had a great combine and seems to be “as advertised” as the #1 LB this year. James “What a Rush” Laurinaitis didn’t impress me that much in his workouts or this season. I think he could be a good player but he needed to show me more at this point. The two guys I’m really high on are USC’s Brian Cushing who reminds me of Chad Greenway in his work ethic and professionalism, and, also from USC, Clay Matthews. Now do I think all three of these USC LBs are gonna be all-pros, not exactly but Matthews had probably the best workout along with Cushing. I was also really impressed with South Carolina ’s Jasper Brinkley who reminds me of Lavar Arrington and just looks like a solid athlete with tons of upside. If teams want a good ILB this year they better get them in the first round because these guys will go like hot cakes.
Donovan’s Elite 5- LB
Aaron Curry- Wake Forest
Rey Maualuga-USC
Brian Cushing- USC
James Laurinaitis- Ohio State
Darry Beckwith- LSU
Donovan’s Morning-Wood Early Risers- LB
Clay Matthews- USC
Jasper Brinkley- South Carolina
Darry Beckwith- LSU
Jason Phillips- TCU
Ivy Mortty- West Virginia
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/24
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-Tonight Charlotte travels to Phoenix to take on the Suns who are licking their wounds after a blowout loss to the Celtics, their first in the Alvin Gentry era. There are two things that I like about tonight's game: 1. Boris Diaw and Raja Bell return to Phoenix for the first time since the trade so this should add a little motivation for the Suns fans to get out of their seats. 2. The Bobcats torched the Suns a few weeks ago in Charlotte so we've got the revenge factor on our side. That said, this Suns team still lacks depth so I am going to stick with the first half line.
PHOENIX SUNS FIRST HALF LINE (-4) VS CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
SLAPSHOT BOB-2/24
Monday, February 23, 2009
2/23 LOCK-MR. THURSDAY NIGHT
THE SYSTEM, 2/23 PICKS
BY COACH K
Hope everyone had a profitable weekend as I know I did even while I was in the back bowls of Vail because of the system! We were a missed FT away from nailing yet another 4* last night and had to settle for the push. Even though both legs were the right side, a furious 17 point comeback by Arizona in the matter of 8 minutes kept us from cashing and our record on 3*'s and above stays at 13-9-2 (59%) +10.15 units.
I'm sure you are curious how the system turned out if you didn't follow it and if you did follow it you know that it was another successful weekend going 43-25 (63%) for 15.5 units!! That's a 23% ROI in less than 24hrs!
Wins: vermont, marybc, boston, winthrop, f.dickinson, toledo, morehead st, canisus, wichita, hofstra, csnorthridge, vcu
(overs)- liberty, davidson, bgreen, ind.st, murray st, siena, wichita st, evansville, loy.chi, e.michigan, lbeach st, st. mary, youngstown st, nc wilm, kent st, tn martin, port st, ill-chi, valpo, tenn.st, se miss st, sandiego, wright st, vermont, ndakota st, morgan st, bucknell, creighton, ucsantabarbara, idaho, vcu
Losses - liberty, gwebb, hartford, loyola(md), mia(oh), lbeachst, ohio, elon, jack.st, semiss. st, pacific, sdst, s.dakota st, ill.st
(overs)- wmich, ballst, eku, fairfield, drake, wintrop, hartford, will.mary, san jose st, s.dakota st, ill.st
With not much on the board tonight I wanted to pass along some key information right away. I just got word from a key source that the outfits will be hitting the Clippers +4.5 tonight pretty hard. Let's look to cash in with some solid info tonight and hopefully pick up a few more units to start the week off right!
NCABB
2* Tenn-Chat -2
1* GTown +2.5, KU +2.5
NBA
3* Clippers +4.5
1* Sixers -2.5, Kings/Hornets over 203
Hope everyone had a profitable weekend as I know I did even while I was in the back bowls of Vail because of the system! We were a missed FT away from nailing yet another 4* last night and had to settle for the push. Even though both legs were the right side, a furious 17 point comeback by Arizona in the matter of 8 minutes kept us from cashing and our record on 3*'s and above stays at 13-9-2 (59%) +10.15 units.
I'm sure you are curious how the system turned out if you didn't follow it and if you did follow it you know that it was another successful weekend going 43-25 (63%) for 15.5 units!! That's a 23% ROI in less than 24hrs!
Wins: vermont, marybc, boston, winthrop, f.dickinson, toledo, morehead st, canisus, wichita, hofstra, csnorthridge, vcu
(overs)- liberty, davidson, bgreen, ind.st, murray st, siena, wichita st, evansville, loy.chi, e.michigan, lbeach st, st. mary, youngstown st, nc wilm, kent st, tn martin, port st, ill-chi, valpo, tenn.st, se miss st, sandiego, wright st, vermont, ndakota st, morgan st, bucknell, creighton, ucsantabarbara, idaho, vcu
Losses - liberty, gwebb, hartford, loyola(md), mia(oh), lbeachst, ohio, elon, jack.st, semiss. st, pacific, sdst, s.dakota st, ill.st
(overs)- wmich, ballst, eku, fairfield, drake, wintrop, hartford, will.mary, san jose st, s.dakota st, ill.st
With not much on the board tonight I wanted to pass along some key information right away. I just got word from a key source that the outfits will be hitting the Clippers +4.5 tonight pretty hard. Let's look to cash in with some solid info tonight and hopefully pick up a few more units to start the week off right!
NCABB
2* Tenn-Chat -2
1* GTown +2.5, KU +2.5
NBA
3* Clippers +4.5
1* Sixers -2.5, Kings/Hornets over 203
Sunday, February 22, 2009
NFL COMBINE REPORT- DAY 2
QBs, WRs, RBs
Dr. Donovan- Lead NFL Draft Expert
On the 2nd day of workouts the skill players showed their talent as the QBs, WRs and RBs performed. Some headlining stories included the 2009 WR group being the fastest 40 group of all time, QB Matt Stafford not throwing and plenty of players helping there draft stock through the combine workouts.
QBs
I think we were spoiled last year by getting 2 rookie QBs who had stellar 1st years in Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco. This year's QB class reminds me a lot of 2007s which we had 2 big name guys, a few good value picks and then it really drops off after that. I think the best move of the day was QB Matt Stafford not participating in throws at this year's combine. He is the favorite to be the #1 QB chosen in the draft and why compete against USC's Mark Sanchez if you are already in that position. Sanchez had a good combine but not enough to vault him into the top spot. A couple guys I really noticed today were QB Pat White from West Virginia and Texas A&M gunslinger Stephen McGee. Pat White is very intriguing to me because we have seen the Wildcat Offense being run and copied by certain NFL teams of late. I think this kids could be a stud in this style of offense and also could be used as a WR as well as a QB. Stephen McGee just looked like a pro-style QB and threw some really good balls that may have helped his stock in the draft this year. Graham Harrell didn't do enough to change my mind about him but I still think he could be a good NFL QB in the right system. One more guy that impressed me at the combine was John Parker Wilson from Alabama. He is a big QB with a lot of upside but is still a little raw. With the right coaching this guy could surprise some people.
Donovan's Elite 5- QB
1. Matt Stafford- Georgia
2. Mark Sanchez- USC
3. Josh Freeman- Kansas State
4. Pat White- West Virginia
5. Rhett Bomar- Sam Houston State
Donovan's Morning-Wood Early Risers
1. Pat White- West Virginia
2. Stephen McGee- Texas A&M
3. John Parker Wilson- Alabama
4. Rhett Bomar- Sam Houston State
5. Graham Harrell- Texas Tech
WRs
This class really impressed me. Last year there were no 1st round WRs taken but we could see 3 or 4 guys taken at the 2009 NFL Annual Player Selection Meetings 1st round. Of course Texas Tech's Michael Crabtree did not participate this year because of an injury but 2 guys that impressed me were Missouri's Jeremy Macklin and Florida's Percy Harvin. Both guys are playmakers and very athletic guys. It is no secret that I am very high on North Carolina's Hakeem Nicks and think he should be a late 1st rounder and will be a stud in the league barring injury. The 2 guys I thought helped their draft stock the most today was 2 Big Ten guys in Brian Robiskie from Ohio State and Deon Butler from Penn State. Robiskie had the best combine at this position by running a fast 40 and showing great hands catching skills and route running. Today's performance may have vaulted him from a 2nd day pick to a 2nd round pick. I also thought Rutgers Kenny Britt looked very athletic with an NFL build and showed speed with his 6'4" 215 frame.
Donovan's Elite 5- WR
1. Michael Crabtree- Texas Tech
2. Jeremy Maclin- Missouri
3. Percy Harvin- Florida
4.Hakeem Nicks- North Carolina
5. Kenny Britt- Rutgers
Donovan's Morning-Wood Early Risers
1. Brian Robiskie- Ohio State
2. Deon Butler- Penn State
3. Hakeem Nicks- North Carolina
4. Kenny Britt- Rutgers
5. Darrius Heyward-Bey- Maryland
RBs
The 2009 running back class contains some solid value picks but only a few franchise guys. The one guy that I do think could be a franchise RB is Georgia's Knowshon Moreno. This guy is the total package and had a decent combine. Ohio State's Chris "Beanie" Wells had an average combine and I still can't seem to get excited about this guy even though he is clearly the 2nd best RB in this year's class. One guy that raised eyebrows today was Donald Brown from Connecticut. This guy ran a fast 40 and showed that he can catch passes out of the backfield which is a big part of today's NFL offense. Mike Goodson from Texas A&M and Kahlil Bell from UCLA both helped their stock by having a good performance today as well. Bell is a Terrell Davis clone and could be the sleeper of the draft. He was hurt a lot in his college career but is also a low-mileage back coming into the draft, which is exactly what Terrell Davis was. Iowa's Shonn Greene was "as advertised" and is a big, tough back that is hard to bring down with about a 4.6 40 time. He didn't help his stock but he didn't hurt it and a late 2nd, early 3rd round pick is expected out of the 2009 Doak Walker trophy winner.
Donovan's Elite 5- RB
1. Knowshon Moreno- Georgia
2. Chris Wells- Ohio State
3. Shonn Greene- Iowa
4. Donald Brown- Connecticut
5. LeSean McCoy- Pittsburg
Donovan's Morning-Wood Early Risers
1. Donald Brown- Connecticut
2. Kahlil Bell- UCLA
3. Mike Goodson- Texas A&M
4. Marlon Lucky- Nebraska
5. Ian Johnson- Boise State
POINTSPREAD PETE-2/22
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/22
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-This afternoon the Michigan Wolverines travel to Iowa City to take on the Hawkeyes of Iowa in a completely meaningless Big Ten matchup. The Hawks will be without Anthony Tucker and could be without Jermain Davis and Jeff Peterson. Factor in that Cyrus Tate is also banged up and I see absolutely zero reason why Iowa should be favored in this game. Take the Wolverines in a lauhger.
MICHIGAN +1 VS IOWA
Saturday, February 21, 2009
MULLIGANS BAR & GRILL LOCK OF THE WEEK
Our Mulligans Bar and Grill (Cedar Falls, IA) lock of the week takes us to Toronto as the Raptors face the resurgent New York Knicks. This match-up features former Suns coach Mike D'Antoni versus his ex-boss and current Raptors GM Bryan Colangelo. While both teams are under .500, both are still alive for a playoff birth in the rotten Eastern Conference. Tip off is noon easatern time on Sunday so finish up your Honey Nut Cheerios, flip on the television and enjoy watching the easiest money you have ever made. The Raptors will be able to run with the Knicks and in the end, Chris Bosh will lead Toronto to a 109-101 victory.
TORONTO RAPTORS -3 VS NEW YORK KNICKS
NFL COMBINE REPORT
DAY 1 of Workouts- OL, TEs
Dr. DonovanLead NFL Draft Expert
The 1st day of workouts is over and the two big stories of the day highlighted Texas Tech WR Michael Crabtree and Alabama OT Andre Smith.
Crabtree has a stress fracture in his foot and will be out for 10 weeks. This doesn't affect his draft stock tremendously as he will still be the #1 WR in the draft, but it could mean he drops out of the top 3 and into the #4 through #8 range in the draft. The biggest downfall is that we don't get to see his 40 times, which might have solidified a top 3 spot for him.
Offensive tackle Andre Smith keeps on adding fuel to the fire and it continues to be his own doing. Not only did he skip his teams bowl game this year for disciplinary reasons and show up to Indy out of shape, he now has added skipping the NFL combine to his resume. He told scouts he would not be working out because he was not ready and this morning he was MIA and later found already back in his home state of Alabama. Like Crabtree, he is still considered a 1st rounder and an elite athlete at his position, but I think this really hurts his draft stock from possibly a top 10 pick to the mid to late first round. This guy could and should be the #1 OL taken in the draft if it wasn't for his recent shenanigans.
OT
The 1st day of workouts consisted of Offensive lineman and Tight Ends. The highlight of the combine to me today was the depth at the OT position. I was very impressed with the Offensive Tackle draft class this year, which is deeper than I thought. You could see 5 or 6 OTs going in the first round including 3 guys in the top 10. The guy that I thought had the best day out of any OL was OT Jason Smith from Baylor. He's got great footwork and looks very athletic and should be the #1 OL taken in the draft. He could possibly be the #1 pick if the Lions decide to pass on a QB and build from the inside out. A guy that wasn't to far behind him was Virginia OT Eugene Monroe who could be the most complete OL in this year's draft. Two other tackles to note were Michael Oher from Mississippi, who had an average combine and South Carolina's Jamon Meredith who I thought was the biggest riser of the day and showed excellent talent and athleticism.
OG
Unlike the OT class, the Offensive Guard class is not very deep at all. Oregon's Andy Levitre is my #1 guard this year and had an above average combine. He is the most versatile and was actually a former LT, which can help his resume. Duke Robinson from Oklahoma struggled today looking tight and slow but Wisconsin's Kraig Urbik may have solidified a 2nd round pick by showing great work ethic and overall had a very solid workout.
C
This year's Center class could be the dark horse of the draft. Although I don't see any of them in the 1st round, possibly Max Unger from Oregon after today's performance, some teams will definitely get some great value picks in the 2nd round with the Center position. Like I said, Unger is the top guy in this year's class but Penn State's A.Q. Shipley and Louisville's Eric Wood impressed me today. The knock on Shipley is his size but I really liked his workout at the combine.
All and all there is some good talent at the OL position. Another side note is that this year's OL class was the 4th best lifting class ever at the combine.
Donovan's Elite 5- OL
1. Jason Smith OT Baylor
2. Eugene Monroe OT Virginia
3. Michael Oher OT Mississippi
4. Andre Smith OT Alabama
5. Max Unger C Oregon
Donovan's Morning-Wood Early Risers
1. Jamon Meredith OT South Carolina
2. AQ Shipley C Penn State
3. Phil Loadholt T Oklahoma
4. Eric Wood C Louisville
5. Lydon Murtha T Nebraska
TE
The tight end position, like most years, is not a very deep position but teams can get some quality guys that can play right away in the top 2 rounds. My definite Elite TE was Oklahoma's Brandon Pettigrew. This guy comes as advertised and is the most complete player at this position. He didn't dominate the 40 or vertical jump but you can see his talent and athleticism. He is the only tight end that I have seen thus far that can be a threat as a receiver but also a very effective blocker. The guy that impressed me the most was South Carolina's Jared Cook. This guy performed like a stud this year and could be one of the high risers because of his combine performance. He dominated the 40, the vertical jump and the broad jump and is a pure athlete but the only knock on him is his blocking skills. A team that needs a playmaker at the tight end position could get a steal in the late 2nd to early 3rd round out of this guy.
Another guy that might have improved his draft stock today is Cornelius Ingram from Florida. He sat out the 2008 season with an ACL tear and that dropped his stock down to the later rounds but after today I can see him in back in the 3rd round. He looked healthy and very athletic and definitely has the talent to be a great TE at the next level if his health allows it.
Donovan's Elite 5- TE
1. Brandon Pettigrew- Okl. State
2. Jerad Cook – South Carolina
3. Cornelius Ingram- Florida
4. Shawn Nelson – Southern Miss
5. Chase Coffman – Missouri
Donovan's Morning-Wood Risers
1. Jerad Cook – South Carolina
2. Cornelius Ingram- Florida
3. Shawn Nelson- Southern Miss
4. James Casey- Rice
5. Anthony Hill- North Carolina
POINTSPREAD PETE DRUNK AT 10AM!
I have just learned, via cellular telephone that Pointspread Pete has decided to make it a shocking Saturday by going against OU, UNC and MEMPHIS! Nobody is quite sure where Pointspread Pete is drinking and details are sketchy at this point but some unconfirmed sightings have placed Pete sharing a booth with Ryan Bennett at Club Shagnasty's in Cedar Falls, IA! Despite desperate pleas from his girlfriend Myda, Pointspread Pete insists on going against this powerhouse trio! Here are the rest of his plays for 2/21:
ALL 2.2 TO WIN 2
MARYLAND
UTEP
SIENNA
TEXAS
GTOWN
USC
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/21
Friday, February 20, 2009
MR. THURSDAY NIGHT BOUNCES BACK
The lock of the day might have been a loser for Mr. Thursday night but the remainder of the Friday card was a money maker!
*BET ID=274402323
Straight Wager 02/20/09 19:01 ET
Result: Wager Won
Hornets(NewOrleans) 111
Lakers(LA) 115 02/20/09(22:45 ET)
Hornets(NewOrleans) +8.5 (-105)
*BET ID=274401829
Straight Wager 02/20/09 18:59 ET
Result: Wager Won
1Magic(Orlando) 1stHalf 49
1Bobcats(Charlotte) 1stHalf 35 02/20/09(19:15 ET)
1Magic(Orlando) -1
*BET ID=274372406
Straight Wager 02/20/09 12:13 ET
Result: Wager Won
1Thunder(OklahomaCity) 1stHalf 57
1Suns(Phoenix) 1stHalf 79 02/20/09(21:15 ET)
1Suns(Phoenix) -4.5 (-115)
*BET ID=274370688
Parlay (3 Teams) 02/20/09 11:27 ET
Result: Wager Lost
Avalanche(Colorado) 4
Capitals(Washington) 1 02/20/09(19:05 ET)
Capitals(Washington) -280
Ducks(Anaheim) 2
RedWings(Detroit) 5 02/20/09(19:35 ET)
RedWings(Detroit) -280
Lightning(TampaBay) 1
Hurricanes(Carolina) 4 02/20/09(19:05 ET)
Hurricanes(Carolina) -210
*ET ID=274369223
Straight Wager 02/20/09 10:37 ET
Result: Wager Won
Thunder(OklahomaCity) 118
Suns(Phoenix) 140 02/20/09(21:15 ET)
Suns(Phoenix) -9 (-105)
*BET ID=274369147
Parlay (2 Teams) 02/20/09 10:33 ET
Result: Wager Won
Ducks(Anaheim) 2
RedWings(Detroit) 5 02/20/09(19:35 ET)
RedWings(Detroit) -280
Lightning(TampaBay) 1
Hurricanes(Carolina) 4 02/20/09(19:05 ET)
Hurricanes(Carolina) -220
BLACK FRIDAY AT HC&P
POINTSPREAD PETE'S FINALLY FRIDAY PICK!
ytd: 6-0 +12 units
this week: 6-0 +12 units
What a night last night!!! Not going to force anything tonight and have 1 small play.
Ill st +3 1.1u to win 1u
Have seen both teams play and Ill st is the better team. I see a 5 point win for the red birds.
Doing a little extra homework for bracketbuster saturday, should be another profitable day!!!
Good Luck,
PSP
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/20
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-I really liked the Suns tonight until the Amare news came out so we're going to go with another NHL play tonight.
WASHINGTON CAPITALS MONEY LINE VS COLORADO AVALANCHE
This is a winner but there isn't great value here, so free, to my loyal readers I offer up another sure fire NHL parlay.
WASHINGTON CAPITALS
DETROIT REDWINGS
CAROLINA HURRICANES
Pair this trifecta together and take your lady friend out somewhere nice on Saturday.
2/20-COACH K
BRACKET BUSTER WEEKEND!!!
Degens, I am leaving for Vail this afternoon and will not be able to post any plays until Monday. I mentioned before that this is a HUGE weekend to take advantage of the lines and the way we will do it is systematically. I have listed the system below for you to follow and hopefully make a tidy profit. All plays should be played for the same amount. If you have capped a game and the system confirms your play then it might be worth increasing your wager for that game since the system is hitting at a near 70% clip the last 4 years.
Here is a link for the games to look at and apply the system: http://www.espnubracketbusters.com/teams.html
The plays were 80-31 ATS the first 3 years 72%
Last year they went 35-19-1 ATS 64.8%
The 4 year total is now 115-50-1 ATS 69.7%
The SYSTEM is as follows:
1) ALL TOTALS 144.5 or less are played OVER ... The exception is if it is a line of 10+ do not play!!!
2) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 10 OR MORE (this has been 15-7)
3) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 1-3.5 (this has been 23-8)
4) PLAY ON ALL TEAMS THAT NORMALLY DON'T HAVE LINED GAMES ( IE. South Dakota St, North Dakota St, Boston U., etc) These teams are listed below.
5) THIS IS MOST IMPORTANT!!! PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY!!!
Don't play this for more than you can afford to lose, PLEASE!!!! There are no guarantees here. It has been lights out for the past 4 years and the oddsmakers have had trouble with these games every year, BUT it doesn't mean it will continue forever, as they are not stupid!
Last year there were 55 plays! You will have to play a ton of games to play this in its most effective manner. If you do not have the bankroll to support it, please do not try this!!! You could really get hurt! Even if you play 5/10 dollars a game, you could still win a lot, don't get greedy thinking this is a be-all-end-all, it is not!
PLAY ON ALL THE FOLLOWING REGARDLESS OF LINE (12):
LIBERTY
VERMONT
N. DAKOTA ST.** I am personally laying extra on this one ATS and making a ML play as I see this coming out at +5, +180ml or more. Great value on a team full of 5th year seniors and IMHO a much better team than UW-Milwaukee. NDSU gets the win here folks!
S. DAKOTA ST.
GARDNER WEBB
MARYLAND BALTIMORE COUNTY
BOSTON UNIV.
MORGAN ST.
WINTHROP
HARTFORD
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
BUCKNELL
Tonight's plays that qualify are:
VCU +1.5 and over 138
Ill St. +3 and over 140
Also of note...Northern Iowa at Sienna. Not knowing what the line is until later this evening, I would take Sienna up to -7 regardless if it fits the system for 2*. 5-6.5 would be 3*. 4.5 and below would be a 4* play.
Degens, I am leaving for Vail this afternoon and will not be able to post any plays until Monday. I mentioned before that this is a HUGE weekend to take advantage of the lines and the way we will do it is systematically. I have listed the system below for you to follow and hopefully make a tidy profit. All plays should be played for the same amount. If you have capped a game and the system confirms your play then it might be worth increasing your wager for that game since the system is hitting at a near 70% clip the last 4 years.
Here is a link for the games to look at and apply the system: http://www.espnubracketbusters.com/teams.html
The plays were 80-31 ATS the first 3 years 72%
Last year they went 35-19-1 ATS 64.8%
The 4 year total is now 115-50-1 ATS 69.7%
The SYSTEM is as follows:
1) ALL TOTALS 144.5 or less are played OVER ... The exception is if it is a line of 10+ do not play!!!
2) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 10 OR MORE (this has been 15-7)
3) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 1-3.5 (this has been 23-8)
4) PLAY ON ALL TEAMS THAT NORMALLY DON'T HAVE LINED GAMES ( IE. South Dakota St, North Dakota St, Boston U., etc) These teams are listed below.
5) THIS IS MOST IMPORTANT!!! PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY!!!
Don't play this for more than you can afford to lose, PLEASE!!!! There are no guarantees here. It has been lights out for the past 4 years and the oddsmakers have had trouble with these games every year, BUT it doesn't mean it will continue forever, as they are not stupid!
Last year there were 55 plays! You will have to play a ton of games to play this in its most effective manner. If you do not have the bankroll to support it, please do not try this!!! You could really get hurt! Even if you play 5/10 dollars a game, you could still win a lot, don't get greedy thinking this is a be-all-end-all, it is not!
PLAY ON ALL THE FOLLOWING REGARDLESS OF LINE (12):
LIBERTY
VERMONT
N. DAKOTA ST.** I am personally laying extra on this one ATS and making a ML play as I see this coming out at +5, +180ml or more. Great value on a team full of 5th year seniors and IMHO a much better team than UW-Milwaukee. NDSU gets the win here folks!
S. DAKOTA ST.
GARDNER WEBB
MARYLAND BALTIMORE COUNTY
BOSTON UNIV.
MORGAN ST.
WINTHROP
HARTFORD
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
BUCKNELL
Tonight's plays that qualify are:
VCU +1.5 and over 138
Ill St. +3 and over 140
Also of note...Northern Iowa at Sienna. Not knowing what the line is until later this evening, I would take Sienna up to -7 regardless if it fits the system for 2*. 5-6.5 would be 3*. 4.5 and below would be a 4* play.
COACH K COMMENTS ON DUKE DEBACLE
I was on Duke tonight/last night for a variety of reasons. 1st off I believed they were the superior team at every position and when a team is giving 11-12 pts they essentially have to outscore their opponent by 1pt every 3 minutes. Shouldn't be too hard being a superior team?? Secondly, I looked at the past games for St. Johns at home against "Duke caliber" teams and they were all close games in the 1st half, but got outscored by DD in the 2nd half. Duke should be able to do the same thing, right? Granted they never got beat by more than 14 at home, but it was the 2nd half let downs which triggered me.
Third, I knew that Duke is notorious for getting out to fast starts and with the exception of WF, Clemson and Miami (I guess you can throw Michigan in there too) they had held true to form all season and the Johnnies aren't WF, Clemson or Miami. After the Miami game, they got back to Duke ball and getting out to fast starts leading NC by 8 at half and BC by 5 at the half. Where they stumbled was the 2nd half. They couldn't "finish". I was pretty confident they were going to come out strong like they always do and be up at least 8-10pts at the break tonight. They did just that leading by 11. The next thing that I was counting on was Coach K to get his team to "finish" the game and play a full 40 mins. I thought that would be a point of emphasis being they just dropped 2 games b/c they couldn't "finish". And against St. John's they should have been able to do that for 3 reasons....1) St. John's had a tendency to falter in the 2nd half against superior competition, 2) They shoot pretty decent from the line and have numerous ball handlers to protect the ball and 3) They are simply better and what better way to get back on track then playing a full 40 minutes against an inferior St. John's team?!
They should have been able to slowly stretch their 11 point lead in the 2nd half while playing sound basketball but keeping their foot on the pedal. And they did that for the first 10 minutes...they slowly built a 16pt lead and looked like they were starting to take control. THEN...they completely shit the bed! They made 4 fg's in the last 10:02 and 0 fg's after the 4 minute mark. Their last FG came with 4:02 I believe. And they only attempted 2 fg's after that! They were still up 14 with 3:15 left and then got outscored 14-7 while making 5 of their next 10 FT attempts. ONLY 3 of 8 between the 0:51 second mark and 22 second mark....not putting it out of reach. It was Henderson 1-2 (75%), Scheyer 1-4 (85%) and Singler 1-2 (71%) taking the FT's too! Their failure to convert at the line allowed the Johnnies to drive and get quick, fairly easy and uncontested 2's . They didn't need 3's, but if Duke had hit the FT's the Johnnies would have had to launch them, most likely missing and allowing Duke to extend a "should have been" 11-12pt lead out to 13-14 with about 20 seconds to play. From there it would have been up to fate I suppose, but the lack of aggressiveness and inability to finish from the 10 minute mark was the downfall and even more so from the 4 minute markl!!
Since this is now becoming a trend with this Duke team...especially on the road...I firmly believe this team will drop at least 3 of their last 5 games. I don't see them winning at VT which will be their 4th game in 9 days, 2nd road game in a row and their 3rd road game of that 4 game stretch. Not to mention VT looking for revenge and being "on the bubble". I don't see them winning in Chapel Hill the last game of the season for obvious reasons. And I don't think they can sweep WF at home, Maryland away (3rd game in 6 days, game after WF, with Mary in a revenge spot and possibly still being in contention for an at large bid) and lastly FSU at home who will be fighting tooth and nail for a higher seed. I see them dropping at least 1 of those games due to their lack of focus, inability to put teams away, situational and motivational factors all strongly favoring their opposition. Their last home game against FSU might favor Duke situationally since I believe it will be Senior Day and their last home game, but aside from that things don't look pretty for this team.
Sorry for the rant, but this game really, really pissed me off! Could it have been because they were looking ahead to Wake? Possibly, but a first half let down would have been more likely if that were the case. Could it be the fix was on and they shut it down at the 10 minute mark and just plain quit shooting the ball the last 4 minutes and decided to hit 50% from the line when the guys shooting it were far better than that? Doubt it, I don't believe it was fixed. I believe it is b/c this team just is not mentally tough enough. After seeing this team fail to "finish" yet again I cannot find any other reason. They have talent. They have coaching. They just don't have it mentally.
With the exception of the Miami (4-8 in the ACC, 10th place) comeback and OT win...ever since the WF loss this team doesn't seem to have the confidence down the stretch. They play not to lose instead of putting teams away. Ya, they put away Virginia (3-8 in the ACC, 11th place) after the WF loss, but we're talking about Virginia and it was in Cameron. Same goes for Miami. They are a decent team, but 4-8 in the ACC and in 10th place. Those are teams Duke SHOULD beat by DD at home! Put this team on the road in a pressure situation down the stretch and they have proven time and again they will fold. See 4 road losses....Michigan, Clemson, BC, and WF. Also see FSU where they blew a 19pt lead with 9 minutes to go. Were up 13 with 3:20 left and were only up 6 with 20 seconds left. SOUND FAMILIAR???!!! As a matter of fact, the only road game this side of Christmas that Duke has extended their lead after the 10 minute mark in the 2nd half was against GT...who consequently is 1-11 and in last place in the ACC! FADE THIS TEAM ON THE ROAD BOYS!
Third, I knew that Duke is notorious for getting out to fast starts and with the exception of WF, Clemson and Miami (I guess you can throw Michigan in there too) they had held true to form all season and the Johnnies aren't WF, Clemson or Miami. After the Miami game, they got back to Duke ball and getting out to fast starts leading NC by 8 at half and BC by 5 at the half. Where they stumbled was the 2nd half. They couldn't "finish". I was pretty confident they were going to come out strong like they always do and be up at least 8-10pts at the break tonight. They did just that leading by 11. The next thing that I was counting on was Coach K to get his team to "finish" the game and play a full 40 mins. I thought that would be a point of emphasis being they just dropped 2 games b/c they couldn't "finish". And against St. John's they should have been able to do that for 3 reasons....1) St. John's had a tendency to falter in the 2nd half against superior competition, 2) They shoot pretty decent from the line and have numerous ball handlers to protect the ball and 3) They are simply better and what better way to get back on track then playing a full 40 minutes against an inferior St. John's team?!
They should have been able to slowly stretch their 11 point lead in the 2nd half while playing sound basketball but keeping their foot on the pedal. And they did that for the first 10 minutes...they slowly built a 16pt lead and looked like they were starting to take control. THEN...they completely shit the bed! They made 4 fg's in the last 10:02 and 0 fg's after the 4 minute mark. Their last FG came with 4:02 I believe. And they only attempted 2 fg's after that! They were still up 14 with 3:15 left and then got outscored 14-7 while making 5 of their next 10 FT attempts. ONLY 3 of 8 between the 0:51 second mark and 22 second mark....not putting it out of reach. It was Henderson 1-2 (75%), Scheyer 1-4 (85%) and Singler 1-2 (71%) taking the FT's too! Their failure to convert at the line allowed the Johnnies to drive and get quick, fairly easy and uncontested 2's . They didn't need 3's, but if Duke had hit the FT's the Johnnies would have had to launch them, most likely missing and allowing Duke to extend a "should have been" 11-12pt lead out to 13-14 with about 20 seconds to play. From there it would have been up to fate I suppose, but the lack of aggressiveness and inability to finish from the 10 minute mark was the downfall and even more so from the 4 minute markl!!
Since this is now becoming a trend with this Duke team...especially on the road...I firmly believe this team will drop at least 3 of their last 5 games. I don't see them winning at VT which will be their 4th game in 9 days, 2nd road game in a row and their 3rd road game of that 4 game stretch. Not to mention VT looking for revenge and being "on the bubble". I don't see them winning in Chapel Hill the last game of the season for obvious reasons. And I don't think they can sweep WF at home, Maryland away (3rd game in 6 days, game after WF, with Mary in a revenge spot and possibly still being in contention for an at large bid) and lastly FSU at home who will be fighting tooth and nail for a higher seed. I see them dropping at least 1 of those games due to their lack of focus, inability to put teams away, situational and motivational factors all strongly favoring their opposition. Their last home game against FSU might favor Duke situationally since I believe it will be Senior Day and their last home game, but aside from that things don't look pretty for this team.
Sorry for the rant, but this game really, really pissed me off! Could it have been because they were looking ahead to Wake? Possibly, but a first half let down would have been more likely if that were the case. Could it be the fix was on and they shut it down at the 10 minute mark and just plain quit shooting the ball the last 4 minutes and decided to hit 50% from the line when the guys shooting it were far better than that? Doubt it, I don't believe it was fixed. I believe it is b/c this team just is not mentally tough enough. After seeing this team fail to "finish" yet again I cannot find any other reason. They have talent. They have coaching. They just don't have it mentally.
With the exception of the Miami (4-8 in the ACC, 10th place) comeback and OT win...ever since the WF loss this team doesn't seem to have the confidence down the stretch. They play not to lose instead of putting teams away. Ya, they put away Virginia (3-8 in the ACC, 11th place) after the WF loss, but we're talking about Virginia and it was in Cameron. Same goes for Miami. They are a decent team, but 4-8 in the ACC and in 10th place. Those are teams Duke SHOULD beat by DD at home! Put this team on the road in a pressure situation down the stretch and they have proven time and again they will fold. See 4 road losses....Michigan, Clemson, BC, and WF. Also see FSU where they blew a 19pt lead with 9 minutes to go. Were up 13 with 3:20 left and were only up 6 with 20 seconds left. SOUND FAMILIAR???!!! As a matter of fact, the only road game this side of Christmas that Duke has extended their lead after the 10 minute mark in the 2nd half was against GT...who consequently is 1-11 and in last place in the ACC! FADE THIS TEAM ON THE ROAD BOYS!
Thursday, February 19, 2009
WILD NIGHT!
What a night it was at Hot Chicks and Picks. Mr. Thursday Night again nails his lock of the day with the Coyotes shootout victory. He then drops bombs on your asses with a 4 team NHL parlay! Boom shake the room! None of this should come as a surprise to anyone as it was after all THURSDAY NIGHT! Pointspread Pete remains on fire with an improbable late cover by UCLA. And finally, Coach K faces possible banning after feeding our loyal followers with a 22% winning percentage the past week.
2/19-POINTSPREAD PETE'S THIRSTY THURSDAY PLAYS!
The man is on fire people, 5-0 since joining us here!
This week: 5-0 +8 units
Ytd: 5-0 +8 units
UCLA -8.5 4.4 units to win 4
This is a lager than normal wager for me tonight. UCLA is coming off two losses down in the desert and come back to LA pissed off. I feel sorry for the huskies tonight as they are a very shaky road team and the bruins will have revenge on their minds as they lost almost a month ago in seattle. I think howland will make the necessary defensive changes and shut down the huskies. UCLA is 5-1 ats their last 6 at home and coming off two losses I see a 15-18 point win. I think your should enjoy your evening, maybe take your girl out to eat, come back home, crack a beer open and watch the bruins cash in for yeah!!
Good Luck,
PSP
MEGAN FOX/NFL COMBINE TV SCHEDULE
A breakdown of NFL Network's combine programming:
» Live Workouts: Host Rich Eisen is joined by analysts Mike Mayock and Charles Davis for daily reports on the prospects participating. Additional expert commentary includes Brian Billick on the offensive linemen, Marshall Faulk on quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers, Warren Sapp on linebackers and defensive linemen and Deion Sanders on defensive backs. Airs live Saturday, Feb. 21 through Tuesday, Feb. 24 beginning at 11 a.m. ET each day.
» NFL Total Access: NFL Total Access is on location at Lucas Oil Stadium with recaps, news, analysis and interviews featuring host Fran Charles alongside analysts Steve Mariucci, Jamie Dukes and reporter Adam Schefter. Airs live Thursday, Feb. 19 through Monday, Feb. 23 at 7 p.m. ET.
HOCKEY PARLAY OF THE DAY AND 2/19 LOCK
2/19-COACH K PLAYS DUKE-SHOCKING!
Since posting here at HC&P I am 13-6-1 (68%) on my 3* plays and above! Ratings are based on 1*-5*. This morning I bring you my 2nd 5* play and look to cash in on a big one again.
5* Duke -11
I wanted to get this out first thing this morning before it climbs higher and probably should have released this last night when it opened at -10.5. I have Duke winning this game by 17-19pts without the situational match-up factors that are vastly in Dukes favor. Dukies in a BLOWOUT!
5* Duke -11
I wanted to get this out first thing this morning before it climbs higher and probably should have released this last night when it opened at -10.5. I have Duke winning this game by 17-19pts without the situational match-up factors that are vastly in Dukes favor. Dukies in a BLOWOUT!
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
POINTSPREAD PETE-2/18 HUMPDAY PLAYS
this week: 2-0 +2 units
ytd: 2-0 +2 units
FSU -3. 2.2u to win 2u
No brainer. Miami's last three games have been against WF, Duke, and UNC. They have to be worn out.
WV -9.5. 1.1u to win 1u
Notre Dame did play well against Louisville but that was at home. Huggy bear will have his deep team ready to put it on an unathletic short benched team in front of a loud crowd.
Northwestern -1.5 1.1u to win 1u
Northwestern's best team in a long time. Why not?
Good Luck
COACH K-2/18
I wanted to pass this along....These are all totals that are part of a system and where I have been coming up with the plays for the 1st half. It is a very solid system and has hit 60%+ this year. I suggest you play them as 1* unless you have done your work and it confirms your totals plays, then I would suggest you go higher.
Niagara/Rider over 70
JMad/Hofstra over 62.5
Youngstown State/Cleveland State over 61.5
ND/WV over 68.5
GTown/WF over 69
AF/TCU under 53
UAB/Tulane under 63
Colorado/Neb under 55
Ohio State/Northwestern under 57
St Joes/St Louis under 56
NCAAB
4* West Virginia -9
2* Arkansas +5, Rice +7. Butler -5, Drake +8, Akron -3, Texas Tech +1.5, Ole Miss +5.5, Fordham +25.5, GTown/Wake under 125, UC Davis/Cal Poly over 148, Virginia/VT under 142.5
1* Virginia pk, SMU +27, Illinois -9, St Louis -1, Morehead St/EKU under 134.5
NBA
3* Suns -2.5/Mavs -2.5 (5.5 pt teaser), Hornets -1
2* Suns/Clippers under 227.5, Bulls/Bucks under 207, Pacers/Bobcats over 202, Nuggets/Sixers under 200.5, Kings/Hawks over 207, Pacers +5.5, Raptors +8, Hawks -6
Niagara/Rider over 70
JMad/Hofstra over 62.5
Youngstown State/Cleveland State over 61.5
ND/WV over 68.5
GTown/WF over 69
AF/TCU under 53
UAB/Tulane under 63
Colorado/Neb under 55
Ohio State/Northwestern under 57
St Joes/St Louis under 56
NCAAB
4* West Virginia -9
2* Arkansas +5, Rice +7. Butler -5, Drake +8, Akron -3, Texas Tech +1.5, Ole Miss +5.5, Fordham +25.5, GTown/Wake under 125, UC Davis/Cal Poly over 148, Virginia/VT under 142.5
1* Virginia pk, SMU +27, Illinois -9, St Louis -1, Morehead St/EKU under 134.5
NBA
3* Suns -2.5/Mavs -2.5 (5.5 pt teaser), Hornets -1
2* Suns/Clippers under 227.5, Bulls/Bucks under 207, Pacers/Bobcats over 202, Nuggets/Sixers under 200.5, Kings/Hawks over 207, Pacers +5.5, Raptors +8, Hawks -6
BONUS PICKS!
Today, and today only, Mr. Thursday Night has bonus wagers for no additional charge.
NHL 3 team Parlay (pays around +260):
Capitals(Washington) -200
Ducks(Anaheim) -150
RedWings(Detroit) -300
Also, Suns first half line, -4 @ LA Clippers. The Suns get Richardson back, the Clippers will likely be without Randolph after he threw a punch last night. Book it!
2/18-LOCK OF THE DAY
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-Be honest people, was last night the easiest money you've ever made in your entire life? About the time the Suns scored their 81st first half point, you could have looked north in the Scottsdale sky and seen a big thundercloud of smoke rolling off the end of my victory cigar. Tonight we head to the ACC and take Florida State.
FLORIDA ST -2 VS MIAMI (Fl)
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
2/17-ADDITIONAL PLAYS
SLAPSHOT BOB
We are proud to announce the addition of our East Coast handicapper, Slapshot Bob. Tonight Bob is advising you to take the Carolina Hurricanes money line against the Boston Bruins. (+125).
COACH K-2/17
Boom Shaka Laka! That's called droppin a bomb on your book boys! 5-0 for 13.35 units!! We nailed the 3* ML play on Pitt as they dominated wire to wire just as I had thought they would do. And the other 4 games were all no-doubters. We did drop 3.1 units in the pucks however to keep us from really unloading. We are now back in the black at +5.25 units!! And with Bracket Buster weekend coming up, I plan on taking it to the "man" because this is a spot where we really have an edge. The lines makers are forced to put out a number on so many games that they leave quite a few soft lines out there for us to take advantage of and trust me take advantage we will! Couple that with the fact that the NBA is back into gear...where we are 11-3-1 on our 2*'s and above for +19.3 units...and you can see the writing on the wall...and the UNITS PILING UP!!
Here is what is on tap for tonight... I am still going thru the #'s and match-ups to try and solidify a few more plays as well as looking for any more info I can find to upgrade a couple plays. But I wanted to make sure and get out our 4* in the NBA since I have some really strong info and expect this one to jump! For now here is what we are playing:
NCABB
3* Michigan St/Purdue under 60 (1st half), Bradley -1.5/Kent St -1 (5.5pt teaser)
2* Murray St. -14, Seton Hall +12.5, Maryland +10.5
1* Maryland/Clemson over 144, Maryland/Clemson over 68 (1st half), ECU +9
NBA
4* Grizzlies/Jazz over 200
3* Hornets -3.5, Pistons/Bucks over 99 (1st half)
2* Magic -8.5, Magic/Bobcats under 189, T'Wolves +3.5, Rockets -6
OK fellas this is going to do it for tonight. WE GOT A BIG ONE TONIGHT!!! Over 40 units in play. I went ahead and upgraded the Magic and got back some info on the Hawks +9 that was solid as well as Austin Peay, plus some totals. Also, I wanted to try and squeeze a couple more units out of Bradley with our teaser....Michigan St getting 8pts presents great value with the teaser and I can't pass it up. Totals added: Nets/Rockets under 193, Knicks/Spurs over 206, BYU/New Mexico over 145 and Marquette/Seton Hall over 151
NCABB
3* Michigan St/Purdue under 60 (1st half), Bradley -1.5/Kent St -1 (5.5pt teaser)
2* Murray St. -14, Seton Hall +12.5, Maryland +10.5, Michigan St +8/Bradley -1.5 (5.5pt teaser), BYU/New Mexico over 145
1* Austin Peay -1, Maryland/Clemson over 144, Maryland/Clemson over 68 (1st half), ECU +9, Marquette/Seton Hall over 151
NBA
4* Grizzlies/Jazz over 200
3* Hornets -3.5, Magic -8.5, Pistons/Bucks over 99 (1st half)
2* Magic/Bobcats under 189, T'Wolves +3.5, Rockets -6, Hawks +9, Knicks/Spurs over 206, Nets/Rockets under 193
Here is what is on tap for tonight... I am still going thru the #'s and match-ups to try and solidify a few more plays as well as looking for any more info I can find to upgrade a couple plays. But I wanted to make sure and get out our 4* in the NBA since I have some really strong info and expect this one to jump! For now here is what we are playing:
NCABB
3* Michigan St/Purdue under 60 (1st half), Bradley -1.5/Kent St -1 (5.5pt teaser)
2* Murray St. -14, Seton Hall +12.5, Maryland +10.5
1* Maryland/Clemson over 144, Maryland/Clemson over 68 (1st half), ECU +9
NBA
4* Grizzlies/Jazz over 200
3* Hornets -3.5, Pistons/Bucks over 99 (1st half)
2* Magic -8.5, Magic/Bobcats under 189, T'Wolves +3.5, Rockets -6
OK fellas this is going to do it for tonight. WE GOT A BIG ONE TONIGHT!!! Over 40 units in play. I went ahead and upgraded the Magic and got back some info on the Hawks +9 that was solid as well as Austin Peay, plus some totals. Also, I wanted to try and squeeze a couple more units out of Bradley with our teaser....Michigan St getting 8pts presents great value with the teaser and I can't pass it up. Totals added: Nets/Rockets under 193, Knicks/Spurs over 206, BYU/New Mexico over 145 and Marquette/Seton Hall over 151
NCABB
3* Michigan St/Purdue under 60 (1st half), Bradley -1.5/Kent St -1 (5.5pt teaser)
2* Murray St. -14, Seton Hall +12.5, Maryland +10.5, Michigan St +8/Bradley -1.5 (5.5pt teaser), BYU/New Mexico over 145
1* Austin Peay -1, Maryland/Clemson over 144, Maryland/Clemson over 68 (1st half), ECU +9, Marquette/Seton Hall over 151
NBA
4* Grizzlies/Jazz over 200
3* Hornets -3.5, Magic -8.5, Pistons/Bucks over 99 (1st half)
2* Magic/Bobcats under 189, T'Wolves +3.5, Rockets -6, Hawks +9, Knicks/Spurs over 206, Nets/Rockets under 193
A-FRAUD DAY PLAYS--2/17
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/17
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-Now people, I have been a degenerate gambler for near a deacde now so I know that a lock such as today's pick only comes around so often. While the Suns will be without suspended Jason Richardson, they will be with a new coach which in the first game or two is usually worth an extra 5 or 6 points. The Clippers come in town being well, the Clippers. Lock this baby up and throw away the key. Lay the points, take the Suns and ride that donkey all the way to the bank.
PHOENIX SUNS -7.5 VS LOS ANGELES CLIPPES.
Monday, February 16, 2009
COACH K FADES MR. THURSDAY NIGHT!
BY COACH K-I want to get this out now because I see this # moving. Pitt ML +145 at BetUS. Play it for 3*. I realize we could be getting 3-3.5 pts right now but honestly...we just don't need them. I have Pitt winning this game by 4-5pts without factoring in the loss of Dyson. Throw in the fact that he isn't playing and all of the chemistry and game strategy that UConn has played with all year long is out the door and what do ya get? A solid victory by the Panthers tonight!
NCAAB
3* Pitt ML +145, LA Tech +9
2* St. Peter's -2, Texas/Texas A&M over 132, Coll of Charleston -1
NHL
1* Phoenix -1.5 (+250), St. Louis -1.5 (+220), Phx/Edm over 5.5
NCAAB
3* Pitt ML +145, LA Tech +9
2* St. Peter's -2, Texas/Texas A&M over 132, Coll of Charleston -1
NHL
1* Phoenix -1.5 (+250), St. Louis -1.5 (+220), Phx/Edm over 5.5
FOR ALL YOU GAMBLING DEGENRATES
NFL Combine odds go live -- Another first from Sportsbook.com For the first time in its 12-year history, Sportsbook.com has released odds on the NFL Combine. Set to take place next week in Indianapolis, the NFL Combine offers fans the chance to see the future stars of the NFL and now Sportsbook.com is giving bettors the chance to wager on the results. From the fastest 40-yard dash, the highest vertical jump, most bench press reps, and individual player matchups, Sportsbook.com has close to 30 different ways for members to wager on the NFL Combine. "The NFL Season may be over but NFL betting doesn't have to be," said Sportsbook.com spokesperson Dave Staley. "Our members love football and we're giving them what they want." "These props are for the true NFL super-fans; the ones that can never get enough football," he added. "Our draft odds were extremely popular last year and we're looking to build off that this offseason." Oddsmakers list Florida Gators receiver Percy Harvin as a favorite over Missouri standout Jeremy Maclin in one of the 40-yard dash matchups. Georgia running back Knowshon Moreno is a slight favorite over Ohio State's Chris "Beanie" Wells in another. In the "Battle of the Big Guys", offensive linemen Andre Smith and Duke Robinson are pitted against each other while oddsmakers have matched linebacker prospects Aaron Curry and James Laurinaitis against each other for the 40-yard dash and the bench press. "There are so many interesting variables to the combine," said Staley. "Everyone's going to be watching Sportscenter and the NFL Network to see how the former college stars perform and we wanted to make it additionally exciting for Sportsbook.com members." The NFL Combine odds are not the only NFL odds that Sportsbook.com will be unveiling this offseason. Super Bowl XLIV odds are already live with the New England Patriots listed as 6:1 favorites. Oddsmakers are already preparing odds for the NFL Draft and Free Agency
TAG IT!
By Dr. Donovan Goldbond
Lead NFL Draft Expert
Here is a list of some of the possible players who may get Franchise tagged this off-season. Not every team uses this franschise tag. Only half of the teams will actually excercise their right this year.
Arizona Cardinals
LB -Karlos Dansby
Atlanta Falcons
P Michael Koenen - TAGGED
Baltimore Ravens
LB - Bart Scott
LB - Terrell Suggs
LB - Ray Lewis
Carolina Panthers
OL - Jordan Gross
Chicago Bears
S - Mike Brown
Cincinnati Bengals
WR - TJ Whosyourmomma
Detroit Lions
K - Jason Hanson - TAGGED
Houston Texans
TE - Owen Daniels
CB - Dunta Robinson
Indianapolis Colts
CB - Kelvin Hayden
Miami Dolphins
S - Yeremiah Bell
New England Patriots
QB - Matt Cassell - TAGGED
New York Giants
RB - Brandon Jacobs - TAGGED
Oakland Raiders
CB - Nnamdi Asomugha
P - Shane Lechler
St. Louis Rams
S - Oshiomogho Atogwe
San Diego Chargers
RB - Darren Sproles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
T - Donald Penn
WR - Antonio Bryant
Tennessee Titans
TE - Bo Scaife
K - Rob Bironis
2/16 LOCK OF THE DAY
Sunday, February 15, 2009
SLOAN FROM ENTOURAGE
2/15-COACH K
NOW WE GO-2/15 LOCK
BY MR. THURSDSAY NIGHT-1-2 yesterday but finally got rid of that goose egg. I would anticipate a huge week from MTN so if you've got any money left after Valentines Day, I suggest you ride this donkey all the way to the teller line.
MICHIGAN +4 AT NORTHWESTERN-MEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL
It appears as though Vegas was asleep at the wheel when the set this line. Northwestern has been a cute little story this year but it's midnight cinderella, the big, bad Wolverines are coming to town and will steal your candy. Boom shaka laka.
Saturday, February 14, 2009
BONUS PICKS FROM MR. THURSDAY NIGHT
CALGARY -110 @ PHOENIX-NHL
PURDUE -5 @ IOWA-MENS COLLEGE BASKETBALL
PURDUE -5 @ IOWA-MENS COLLEGE BASKETBALL
NFL SCHEDULE
NFL Schedule up to the Draft
Feb. 18-24—NFL scouting combine, Indianapolis.
Feb. 19—Deadline for clubs to designate franchise and transition players.
Feb. 27—Free agency begins; trading period begins.
March 22-25—Annual owners meeting, Dana Point, Calif.
April 17—Signing period ends for restricted free agents.
April 24—Deadline for old club to exercise right of first refusal to restricted free agents.
April 25-26—NFL draft, New York.
COACH K-2/14
No numbers, just winners from coach K today:
CAL
CINCY
GT
PORTLAND
OLD DOM
OHIO ST UNDER
WAKE UNDER
KANSAS OVER
CAL
CINCY
GT
PORTLAND
OLD DOM
OHIO ST UNDER
WAKE UNDER
KANSAS OVER
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/14
Friday, February 13, 2009
RAMBLE ON
5* bomb on the Warriors -3 cashes as Coach K's NBA plays rated 2*'s and above move to 11-3-1 +19.3 units!!
We've been struggling in our college games missing out on some HUGE profits by only a few points. The bottom line is losing is losing and there is really no excuse. I've been grinding away at this racket for 10+ years and if there's anything I know best it's that the breaks even out and we'll get ours eventually. As long as we stay sharp and go where the value presents itself, we'll come out ahead. Our winners have been clear cut winners, but the vast majority of our losers have been by a buzzer beater here and a missed FT there. What that tells me is my numbers are pretty solid, we've just encountered a little bump in the road. Just 2 weeks ago I unleashed a 13-2-1 day on the books piling up over 20 units in one day. Unfortunately, you weren't along for that display due to the launch date of this blog site....but I can promise you that day is coming again in the near future.
With a small card to work with and not a whole lot of value presenting itself I am going to keep it small today. I'll also have a little NHL from my hockey source to pass along (don't worry it's not MTN). Good luck!
NCAAB
1* Cornell -14.5, Rider -10, Ill Chi +13, Dartmouth +8.5
Opinion WV -4
NHL
1* Montreal -104, New York +105, Dallas/Vancouver over 5.5
FINAL COMBINE PREVIEW
Combine Preview Continued
Dr. Donovan GoldbondLead NFL Draft Expert
CB
This year's top prospects at cornerback come from the Big 10 and are Illinois Vontae Davis and Ohio State's Malcolm Jenkins. Both players are most likely to go in the top 15-20 picks. Some players to watch at the combine are Connecticutt's Darius Butler who is a draft "high riser" so far this off-season, and Alphonso Smith from Wake Forest, who tied the ACC career record for interceptions with 20 (tied with Dre Bly) and was an AP First Team All American.
S
Free safety Louis Delmas from Western Michigan is the top prospect so far at the safety position. Although he is only 5'11" and 200 lbs, he plays like a linebacker and recorded over 100 tackles his Senior season. My favorite prospect is FS Rashad Johnson from Alabama, who can help a team in the secondary and / or in the return game. If he can run his 40 around 4.40 at the combine, he can boost himself into the first round. Same situation can be said for SS Patrick Chung from Oregon who is also relying on a fast 40 at the combine. SS William Moore from Missouri really struggled at Senior week but can get himself back into 1st round contention with a good combine.
Tune in Feb. 18 – 24 for the combine on NFL Network. I will be back to breakdown my "Players to Watch" on each day and who are the studs and duds of each position.
LOCK OF THE DAY-2/13
BY MR. THURSDAY NIGHT-No NBA tonight and very little college b-ball so we once again dip into the NHL for the lock of the day. Today, at no additional charge, I will be providing a 2 team parlay to satisfy your gambling needs. Take the Detroit Red Wings (@ CLB) money line and pair it with the Chicago Blackhawks money line (@ STL). Use this extra $$ to buy your lady friend a special gift this weekend for Valentines Day. Mr. Thursday Night has been playing cupid since 1999 and this year will be no different. Tonight we dump the goose egg and move full speed ahead into next week which will be an all NBA special in celebration of black history month.
WE'VE BOTTOMED OUT
After the Vancouver Canucks missed two open nets from close range and therefore preventing the cover, there is little doubt that we have hit rock bottom with a 0-4-2 mark in the early days of this website. The time is now to climb aboard the paddywagon and ride Mr. Thursday Night all the way to the bank. Avoid at all costs the clown show that is Mr. Midwest and Coach K. Check back later for the lock of the 2000s.
Thursday, February 12, 2009
COACH K'S LAST HOORAH
Last night was a disappointment with our 4* Evansville losing on a buzzer beater costing us a 8.8 unit swing. Instead of being +5.9 units we ended up dropping 2.9. But tonight we come back with a 5* play that I intend to take to the bank!
NCAA
3* Davidson -12.5, Gonzaga -4, Denver +1
2* ASU +6.5/ND +9 (5pt teaser), USC +3, Citadel -3.5, San Diego -13.5, Idaho +5.5
SE Mizzou +18.5, Northwestern/Illinois under 118.5
NBA
5* Warriors -2.5 (-120) buy half
3* Warriors/Blazers under 216.5
NCAA
3* Davidson -12.5, Gonzaga -4, Denver +1
2* ASU +6.5/ND +9 (5pt teaser), USC +3, Citadel -3.5, San Diego -13.5, Idaho +5.5
SE Mizzou +18.5, Northwestern/Illinois under 118.5
NBA
5* Warriors -2.5 (-120) buy half
3* Warriors/Blazers under 216.5
JETS BREAKDOWN
Now What?
By Dr. Donovan Goldbond
Lead NFL Draft Expert
The New York Jets have gone through a major face lift over the last 2 years. Not only do they have a new coach, they gained and lost a Hall of Fame quarterback in the span of one year. At least it’s better than gaining and losing a head coach in the span of one day (via Bill Belichick). All in all, this Jets team has been thrown in the washer, hung up on a clothes line to dry and now folded to be put in a drawer for the next guy. The Jets better hope there seat cushions can be used as more than a floatation device and maybe a quarterback instead.
Brett Favre announcing his retirement was really no big surprise to a lot of people, including myself. What Hall of Fame QB wants to start over with a new coach after struggling to learn a new system last year? After the hangover subsided from the last 5 games of the season, in which the Jets were beaten by bottom dwellers such as San Fran, Denver , Seattle and Oakland , many Jets fans look back on the season with a faint smile. That smile comes from knowing that they had possibly the greatest QB of all time wearing New Jersey green at least for a year. In fact, at one point of the season, after beating the Pats and the undefeated Titans, some considered them to be a legit Superbowl contenders, which is more than they would have been able to say if Favre and other FAs did not sign in the off-season,
So after going through a roller coaster of emotions last season, where does this Jet take off to now? The first question is, what will defensive maestro and new head coach Rex Ryan bring to this team? Rex Ryan is a different style of coach than the Jets have ever seen. He is considered a player’s coach but does not shy away from speaking his mind. Many former players of Ryan seem to love him because he, “treats you like a man and in return you want to play football like a man”. Ravens LB Terrell Suggs stated.
One thing I know for sure, we will see the 3-4 defense, which the Jets installed over the last 3 years with Eric Mangini, run with reckless abandon. Ryan has already made it well known that the Jets will take a different mentality going into this season and will be blitzing from anywhere at anytime on defense. We can expect a smash mouth style of football that we have seen from the Steelers, Bears and Ravens over the years. Do the Jets have the personnel to make this successful; right away? They are very close but still need a lot of help.
First and foremost, the Jets no longer have a QB. They do have three QBs on their roster right now, including former starter Kellen Clemens, 2nd year player Erik Ainge and Brett “The Jet” Ratliff. All three quarterbacks combine for starting 9 games in their NFL career. The Jets front office seems to think they have their QB of the future on their team and open try outs, come training camp, will find him. I don’t disagree with the Jets organization although I think Clemens already had his chance and failed numerous times. Erik Ainge is too raw and does not display the arm to be able to win games at the windy Meadowlands. That turns us to Brett Ratliff who is the third year player out of Utah . He signed a practice squad contract with the Jets on 9/3/07 and has shown that he has the arm to be a very good QB at this level. Is Ratliff the savior that all Jets fans have been waiting for? We don’t have enough information or experience to answer that question yet, but even if he is, the Jets need depth at the position.
Most likely the Jets will start by looking at Free Agent QBs. Let’s see, old Jeff Garcia, injury prone Byron Leftwich, total bust, Joey Harrington or Lions winless back-up Dan Orvrolosky. Veteran journeymen Kurt Warner and Kerry Collins will probably re-sign with their respected teams and the Patriots Matt Cassell will be franchise tagged. Although trade talks of QBs like Cleveland’s Derek Anderson or Cassell have arose, it’s hard to know what will shake out in 2009. Could Ryan bring Kyle Boller over from the Ravens? We can only hope not.
The next place to look for a starting QB is the 2009 NFL Annual Players Selection Meeting (fancy name for the draft). After Georgia ’s Stafford and USC’s Sanchez, the QB class really drops off. No matter what happens, the Jets need to find a diamond in the rough and find him soon. Otherwise you might as well slap some purple on them and call them the Ravens (without the great defense).
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)