Tough one last night, but thankfully it was only a few units down the drain. If you haven't noticed lately the lines are getting sharper and sharper with about half of last night's lines falling within 3 pts of the posted #. This occurs every year, but it seems this year they are a little sharper than in years past. Thankfully we have a big board to work with tonight which should help out in a few spots and present some good value.
NCAA
4* NW/Indiana over 127
3* Depaul +14, W. Mich -1
2* Marquette -1, UNLV +5.5, Will & Mary +12, Vandy -4.5, Colorado +6, St. Louis pk, James Madison +3.5, Hofstra -1, Va Tech +10.5, Charlotte pk, Mizzouri -9.5, Maryland +6.5
1* Kentucky +1, UCF -12, MSU/Iowa over 122, Wyoming CSU over 151, Arkansas/Bama over 142.5, Marshall/ECU under 149, UCF/Seton Hall under 140, Delaware/Towson under 141. Northeastern/Drexel under 54.5 (1H), USF/Seton Hall over 63 (1H), Rutgers/ND under 68 (1H)
NBA
3* Kings +3.5
2* Magic -2.5, Nuggets -8.5, Bulls/Nets over 204, Magic/Knicks under 219
1* Celtics/Clippers under 200.5
Bobcats are better than the Kings, don't like that one. Indy/NW over is an early winner by a point.
ReplyDeleteI've lost big ones by half a point, a point, 85% FT shooters missing both when all I need is 1 for a cover, half court shots at the buzzer, banked in 3's from 27 ft, you name it. I've said all along the breaks even out over time. I am due for about 10 more 1pt W's considering all of the 1 pt losses I've had.
ReplyDeleteDidn't matter cuz I just got absolutely hammered on the NCAA 2*s. Clearly my #'s are way off when it comes to the lines showing small-medium value as evidence of the past 2 nights. Either that or I'm misreading my situational factors cuz too many of those games weren't even close. If it were 1 or 2, that's just part of it, but when there are 5-6...something is off. Might have made the wrong adjustments for the end of the season. Looks like it's gonna be an all-nighter trying to fix my numbers before the weekend and conference tourneys start. Arghh!
ReplyDeleteMaybe you should just stick to your locks and leave the leans alone.
ReplyDelete